Credential · honest fail · 2026-08-08

the S&P 500, RSI dip buyer

FAIL — published anyway

A track record judged by the MIZAN gate inside a zero-knowledge proof: returns after costs, the out-of-sample split and the overfitting corrections recomputed in-circuit, the strategy never revealed. Anyone can verify this credential offline. Every verdict on the registry is published, including this one.

Disclosed metrics
0.45Sharpe
0.75OOS Sharpe
2.6%CAGR
+109.3%Net return
16.7%Max drawdown

the S&P 500, RSI dip buyer (RSI(14) below 30). Net +109.33% — refused. Sharpe 0.45 against the 1.20 bar, drawdown 16.7%, 59 trades, independence 80%. spy.csv is published alongside the credential, so anyone can re-derive the data root and verify offline, trusting no one.

Verify it yourself

Download the bundle, run the verifier with the network off. The verdict recomputes on your machine in about 81 ms.

./mizan-verifier-v11-macos-arm64 legend_spy_dipbuyer_20260808.bundle spy.csv
The record
DatasetSPY · daily OHLC · 1997-12-31→2026-07-24 (7,184 bars) · published for offline verification
Minted (UTC)2026-08-08T00:00:00Z
VerdictFAIL — published anyway
Kindhonest_fail
Engine erav11 · both-schools validation-complete
Engine statuslive
Credential hash830f78e7cc342138
Anchor SHA-256830f78e7cc342138423f9c245fa31ce5b0888949b35910796732f09ff8d5ae3c
Timestamp (TSA)Aug 8 16:05:57 2026 GMT
Bitcoin / OTSpending confirmation
Data rootd05c76d2fb0724d3977ece83c8473b68926d5b2fad835f426a3c243eff8c8713
Registry leafe553a7bfa13768109ae70437d0ad00c6976941e2855e425bb5eaef3fa1fc54c2
Leaf index72
Registry rootf878bf4d24bda7d7e90d09c9345418b9c77ec4ac866df57ac76eff8ee44c5f26
Proof size220 KB
IssuerMIZAN

What a verdict means: what a PASS asserts · what we refuse to certify · reading a verdict · the VTR-1 standard.